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China's response to America’s financial meltdown

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In Brief

Harold James, Professor of History and International Relations at Princeton University, writes that only China has the firepower and capacity to rescue the international financial system from the threats from America’s financial meltdown today (Project Syndicate, September 2008). This is not just a financial and economic crisis, he suggests. Rather, like the financial and economic shocks that led to the Great Depression through the 1920s and 1930s, it is a drama that must play out on the world geopolitical stage.

Sound a little over-stretched? Perhaps. But there is no doubt that China’s response to the events that are unfolding in America will be pivotal to how readily the global economic and political system digests their impact in the medium and longer term.

China is today’s America, claims James. When the 1920s and '30s crisis hit, America alone had the capacity to take the big public sector action at home that was needed to stem the panic and economic collapse and the reserves to save Europe and the rest of the world from massive contagion. Andrew Mellon, US Treasury Secretary of the time, resolutely stood back, determined to let markets collapse and ‘purge the rottenness out of the system’. The collateral economic and geopolitical damage from that adjustment path through the markets was well and truly done before Roosevelt’s New Deal was put in place. Then, and now, a globalised world means that the solution to such crises spans borders.

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Aside from the United States, only China, reckons James, has the firepower to rescue the global conglomerates at the heart of the global financial system now under stress.

China, of course, has already played a role in picking up some of the pieces as the wheels fell off the US financial bus. As the crisis unfolded, Chinese and Middle East sovereign wealth funds recapitalised some of the debt of US and European institutions. But more recently Chinese investment Co (CIC) backed away from bankrolling Lehmann Bros. James’ has a notion that CIC backed away from picking up the tabs on Lehmann Bros as pay-back for US failure to act in the East Asian financial crisis and that is fanciful. This is only the micro play. The big play is the geopolitical paradigm shift that needs to deal China into its new responsibilities in managing the international economic and financial system. China can’t be expected to play its role in these affairs until it is brought into the centre of the global economic decision-making processes.

Meanwhile, the US crisis comes at a time that highlights the peculiar measure of influence and responsibility that rests upon China. Here, even more than in the East Asian financial crisis, China has the chance of making its own constructive and strategic contribution through underwriting policies to support a stronger RMB and boost continued growth of its own domestic demand. This will buttress the efforts of policymakers in Washington, serve China’s own national interests and leverage China’s role as an anchor of the international system.

One response to “China’s response to America’s financial meltdown”

  1. “A drama that must play out on the world geopolitical stage” is by no means an over-stretched description of this crisis. However, looking to China as an anchor for the international system is definitely an overstretched hope.

    Michael Laitman explains that we need to examine and deal with the root cause behind this global crisis. This root cause will cause even China’s economy to fall and then this anchor that we are hoping for, will also be doomed.

    Read further at: http://www.laitman.com/2008/10/the-financial-crisis-an-analysis/

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